Arkansas State
W-L: ( 7- 5) PR = 90.1646Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 831 H Ce Arkansas 34-31 907 H Tulsa American ( 3- 9, 85.6) 28-24 914 A Michigan B10 ( 7- 5, 95.2) 18-28 921 A Iowa St B12 (10- 3, 95.9) 7-52 1005 H So Alabama SUN ( 6- 6, 90.4) 18-16 1012 A Texas State SUN ( 7- 5, 91.5) 9-41 1019 A So Miss SUN ( 1-11, 83.8) 44-28 1026 H Troy SUN ( 4- 8, 89.1) 34-31 1109 A Louisiana SUN (10- 3, 93.2) 19-55 1116 A Georgia St SUN ( 3- 9, 88.6) 27-20 1123 H La-Monroe SUN ( 5- 7, 89.5) 28-21 1130 H Old Dominion SUN ( 5- 7, 91.1) 32-40
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
907 H Tulsa 28-24 4 5 -1.00
914 A Michigan 18-28 -10 -6 0.00
921 A Iowa St 7-52 -45 -7 0.00
1005 H So Alabama 18-16 2 1 1.34
1012 A Texas State 9-41 -32 -2 - -2.80
1019 A So Miss 44-28 16 5 0.00
1026 H Troy 34-31 3 2 1.04
1109 A Louisiana 19-55 -36 -4 -1.04
1116 A Georgia St 27-20 7 1 ++ 4.35
1123 H La-Monroe 28-21 7 2 + 3.48
1130 H Old Dominion 32-40 -8 0 -- -4.92
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1130 H Old Dominion 32-40 -8 0 -- -4.92 1012 A Texas State 9-41 -32 -2 - -2.80 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1116 A Georgia St 27-20 7 1 ++ 4.35 1123 H La-Monroe 28-21 7 2 + 3.48 |
Arkansas State Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col ` | Boston Col ` | Boston Col ` | ||
| California | California | California | ||
| Clemson | Clemson | Clemson | ||
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Florida St | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Georgia Tech | |
| Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | ||
| Miami | Miami | Miami | ||
| UNC | UNC | UNC | ||
| NC St | NC St | NC St | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| SMU | SMU | SMU | ||
| Stanford | Stanford | Stanford | ||
| Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse | ||
| Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Va Tech | Va Tech | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Va Tech | |
| Wake Forest | Wake Forest | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Wake Forest | |
| Army | Army | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Army | |
| Charlotte | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Ea Carolina | |
| Fla Atlantic | Arkansas State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arkansas State | |
| Memphis | Memphis | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Memphis | |
| Navy | Navy | Navy | ||
| No Texas | No Texas | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | No Texas | |
| Rice | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| So Florida | Arkansas State | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Arkansas State | |
| Temple | Arkansas State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arkansas State | |
| Tulane | Tulane | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Tulane | |
| Tulsa | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| UAB | Arkansas State | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Arkansas State | |
| UTSA | UTSA | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | UTSA | |
| Arizona | Arizona | Arizona | ||
| Arizona St | Arizona St | Arizona St 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| BYU | BYU | BYU | ||
| Baylor | Baylor | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Baylor | |
| Cincinnati | Cincinnati | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cincinnati | |
| Colorado | Colorado | Colorado | ||
| Houston | Houston | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Houston | |
| Iowa St | Iowa St | Iowa St | ||
| Kansas | Kansas | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Kansas | |
| Kansas St | Kansas St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Kansas St | |
| Oklahoma St | Oklahoma St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Oklahoma St | |
| TCU | TCU | TCU | ||
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Texas Tech | |
| UCF | UCF | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UCF | |
| Utah | Utah | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Utah | |
| We Virginia | We Virginia | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | We Virginia | |
| Illinois | Illinois | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Illinois | |
| Indiana | Indiana | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Indiana | |
| Iowa | Iowa | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Iowa | |
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Michigan St | Michigan St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Michigan St | |
| Minnesota | Minnesota | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Minnesota | |
| Nebraska | Nebraska | Nebraska | ||
| Northwestern | Northwestern | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northwestern | |
| Ohio St | Ohio St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ohio St | |
| Oregon | Oregon | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Oregon | |
| Penn St | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Purdue | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers | ||
| UCLA | UCLA | UCLA | ||
| USC | USC | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | USC | |
| Washington | Washington | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Washington | |
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | Wisconsin | ||
| Florida Intl | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Jacksonv. St | Arkansas State | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Arkansas State | |
| Kennesaw St | Arkansas State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Arkansas State | |
| Liberty | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| La Tech | Arkansas State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Arkansas State | |
| Middle Tenn | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| NM St | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| SHouston St | Arkansas State | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Arkansas State | |
| UTEP | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| We Kentucky | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| UMass | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| UConn | UConn | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | UConn | |
| Akron | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Ball St | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Bowl. Green | Arkansas State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Arkansas State | |
| Buffalo | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Cen Michigan | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Ea Michigan | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Kent State | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| MiamiOH | MiamiOH | MiamiOH | ||
| No Illinois | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Ohio | Ohio | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ohio | |
| Toledo | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| We Michigan | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Air Force | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Boise State | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Colorado St | Colorado St | Colorado St | ||
| Fresno St | Fresno St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fresno St | |
| Hawaii | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Nevada | Arkansas State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arkansas State | |
| New Mexico | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| San Diego St | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| San Jose St | San Jose St | San Jose St | ||
| UNLV | UNLV | UNLV | ||
| Utah St | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Wyoming | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Oregon St | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Wash St | Wash St | Wash St | ||
| Alabama | Alabama | Alabama | ||
| Arkansas | Arkansas | Arkansas | ||
| Auburn | Auburn | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Auburn | |
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | ||
| Kentucky | Kentucky | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Kentucky | |
| LSU | LSU | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | LSU | |
| Missouri | Missouri | Missouri | ||
| Miss St | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Oklahoma | ||
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | Ole Miss | ||
| So Carolina | So Carolina | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | So Carolina | |
| Tennessee | Tennessee | Tennessee | ||
| Texas | Texas | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Texas | |
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | Texas A&M | ||
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Vanderbilt | |
| App St | App St | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | App St | |
| Coastal Car | Coastal Car | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Coastal Car | |
| Georgia So | Georgia So | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Georgia So | |
| Georgia St | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| J Madison | J Madison | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | J Madison | |
| Louisiana | Louisiana | Louisiana | ||
| Marshall | Marshall | Marshall 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Old Dominion | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| So Miss | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| So Alabama | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Texas State | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Troy | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| La-Monroe | Arkansas State | Arkansas State |
PowerWise = 44
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.10
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Tulsa ( 3- 9, 85.6) 28-24 -14.28 3.97 -0.91 1.10 3.37
0 A Michigan ( 7- 5, 95.2) 18-28 -4.66 13.59 0.91 1.10 -4.13
0 A Iowa St (10- 3, 95.9) 7-52 -3.95 14.30 0.91 1.10 -3.35
0 H So Alabama ( 6- 6, 90.4) 18-16 -9.49 8.77 -0.91 1.10 8.65
0 A Texas State ( 7- 5, 91.5) 9-41 -8.44 9.82 0.91 1.10 -8.29
0 A So Miss ( 1-11, 83.8) 44-28 -16.09 2.16 0.91 1.10 3.38
0 H Troy ( 4- 8, 89.1) 34-31 -10.79 7.46 -0.91 1.10 7.22
0 A Louisiana (10- 3, 93.2) 19-55 -6.68 11.57 0.91 1.10 -6.36
0 A Georgia St ( 3- 9, 88.6) 27-20 -11.29 6.97 0.91 1.10 8.66
0 H La-Monroe ( 5- 7, 89.5) 28-21 -10.35 7.90 -0.91 1.10 7.70
0 H Old Dominion ( 5- 7, 91.1) 32-40 -8.75 9.50 -0.91 1.10 -10.63
------
6.23
|
winning pts = 38.9874 losing points = -32.7611
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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